MX23RW : Saturday, October 5 07:12:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 1
Sep 15, 2024 at 1pm UK
Mustapekka Areena

Gnistan
2 - 1
Mariehamn

Hanninen (28', 46')
Heiskanen (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Patut (46')
Andersson (90+4')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Gnistan and IFK Mariehamn.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gnistan 1-1 Ilves
Sunday, September 1 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Mariehamn 2-1 Oulu
Sunday, September 1 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gnistan win with a probability of 51.72%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gnistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gnistan would win this match.

Result
GnistanDrawIFK Mariehamn
51.72% (-0.153 -0.15) 23.73% (0.33 0.33) 24.54% (-0.184 -0.18)
Both teams to score 55.4% (-1.305 -1.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.23% (-1.632 -1.63)45.76% (1.627 1.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.92% (-1.57 -1.57)68.08% (1.563 1.56)
Gnistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29% (-0.666 -0.67)17.7% (0.66 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.65% (-1.157 -1.16)48.35% (1.152 1.15)
IFK Mariehamn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.32% (-1.036 -1.04)32.68% (1.03 1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.77% (-1.172 -1.17)69.23% (1.166 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Gnistan 51.71%
    IFK Mariehamn 24.55%
    Draw 23.73%
GnistanDrawIFK Mariehamn
1-0 @ 10.01% (0.466 0.47)
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.67% (0.228 0.23)
3-1 @ 5.6% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-0 @ 5.01% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.166 -0.17)
4-1 @ 2.42% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-0 @ 2.17% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 51.71%
1-1 @ 11.2% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 5.79% (0.391 0.39)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.73%
0-1 @ 6.47% (0.265 0.27)
1-2 @ 6.26% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.62% (0.049 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 24.55%

Head to Head
Aug 21, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 15
Gnistan
2-1
Mariehamn
Heiskanen (47'), Latonen (85')
Pettersson (45'), Kabashi (59')
Fonsell (7')
Cardoso (36'), Auvinen (90+3')
May 26, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 8
Mariehamn
1-1
Gnistan
Dahlstrom (16')
Tehe Olawale (21'), Fonsell (90')
Tatar (26')
Sarr (4'), Olander (50'), Tatar (55'), Ojala (67')
Oct 29, 2023 1pm
Final 2nd Leg
Mariehamn
3-0
Gnistan
Tehe Olawale (40'), Hopcutt (72'), Ngamba (90+1')
Lahti (49')

Medo (48'), Woivalin (51'), Kabashi (54')
Kabashi (90+4')
Oct 25, 2023 4.30pm
Final 1st Leg
Gnistan
0-0
Mariehamn
Woivalin (34'), Ala-Iso (53'), Linnas (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1IlvesIlves440052272551
2KuPSKuPS320144242050
3HJK Helsinki302144251945
4SJKSJK31114639740
5Vaasan PalloseuraVPS41124043-336
6HakaHaka30033740-335
Relegation Round
1Gnistan32013638-236
2Inter Turku311142321035
3Oulu32013037-727
4IFK MariehamnMariehamn31022542-1723
5LahtiLahti31022945-1622
6Ekenas IFEIF31112356-3317
 
Regular Season
1KuPSKuPS22135439221744
2HJK Helsinki22134541212043
3IlvesIlves22116545252039
4SJKSJK2210664033736
5HakaHaka2210573532335
6Vaasan PalloseuraVPS229583436-232
7Inter Turku229493829931
8Gnistan228683234-230
9Oulu2256112636-1021
10IFK MariehamnMariehamn2255122038-1820
11LahtiLahti2231092638-1219
12Ekenas IFEIF2234151951-3213


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