Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Melbourne City had a probability of 37.32% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.12%) and 3-1 (4.99%). The likeliest Melbourne City win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Melbourne City |
40.67% (![]() | 22% (![]() | 37.32% (![]() |
Both teams to score 69.3% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.28% (![]() | 30.71% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.95% (![]() | 52.05% (![]() |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.94% (![]() | 16.06% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.57% (![]() | 45.43% (![]() |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.56% (![]() | 17.44% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.1% (![]() | 47.9% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Melbourne City |
2-1 @ 8.18% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.12% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.99% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.68% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.36% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.86% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.28% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.31% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 3.75% Total : 40.67% | 1-1 @ 8.95% (![]() 2-2 @ 7.14% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.8% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.54% ( ![]() Other @ 0.58% Total : 22% | 1-2 @ 7.81% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.89% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.55% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.27% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.16% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.11% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 3.17% Total : 37.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 42 |
2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 38 |
3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 34 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 34 |
5 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 33 |
6 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 33 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 30 |
8 | Macarthur | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 22 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 19 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 11 |
13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 48 | -34 | 11 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |