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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Equatorial Guinea national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2024 at 1pm UK
Nuevo Estadio de Malabo
Algeria national football team

Eq Guinea
0 - 0
Algeria


Junior Hanza Meha (90+4')
FT

Amine Madani (67'), Mahrez (67'), Zerrouki (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Equatorial Guinea and Algeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Liberia 1-2 Eq Guinea
Monday, October 14 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Algeria

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Togo 0-1 Algeria
Monday, October 14 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Equatorial Guinea 1-1 Algeria

 Equatorial Guinea will go into this clash with more zeal and energy, given that they have something at stake compared to Algeria, who have already achieved their aim – however, we believe that the visitors will try to avoid a loss, which is why we are predicting a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 50.07%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 22.46%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.47%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 1-0 (9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Equatorial GuineaDrawAlgeria
22.46% (0.0030000000000001 0) 27.47% (0.004999999999999 0) 50.07% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Both teams to score 42.48% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.4% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)61.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.56% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)81.44% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Equatorial Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)43.48% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.31% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)79.69% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Algeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.15% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)24.85% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.55% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)59.45% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Equatorial Guinea 22.46%
    Algeria 50.07%
    Draw 27.47%
Equatorial GuineaDrawAlgeria
1-0 @ 9% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 5.22%
2-0 @ 3.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 1.45%
3-0 @ 1.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 22.46%
1-1 @ 12.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.8%
2-2 @ 3.63%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 27.47%
0-1 @ 15.04%
0-2 @ 10.47%
1-2 @ 8.72% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 4.86% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 4.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 1.69%
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 50.07%

How you voted: Eq Guinea vs Algeria

Equatorial Guinea
14.3%
Draw
37.1%
Algeria
48.6%
35
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2024 8pm
Group Stage
Algeria
2-0
Eq Guinea
Aouar (70'), Gouiri (90+5')
Mandrea (89')

Nlavo (33'), Coco (45+3'), Salvador (74'), Ndong (90')
> Preview
Jan 16, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Algeria
0-1
Eq Guinea

Bounedjah (4'), Bensebaini (8'), Mandi (45')
Obiang (70')
Ndong (9'), Bikoro (43'), Siafa (45'), Obiang (90+4')
> Preview
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