MX23RW : Monday, November 4 12:05:51| >> :600:363763:363763:
Zimbabwe national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 14, 2024 at 5pm UK
Orlando Stadium
Namibia national football team

Zimbabwe
3 - 1
Namibia

Musona (50', 61' pen.), Dube (89')
Hadebe (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Silveador Claudius Eiseb (90')
Ileni Amutenya (47')
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Zimbabwe and Namibia.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Namibia 0-1 Zimbabwe
Thursday, October 10 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Namibia 0-1 Zimbabwe
Thursday, October 10 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zimbabwe win with a probability of 35.07%. A win for Namibia had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 31.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zimbabwe win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.99%) and 2-1 (6.61%). The likeliest Namibia win was 0-1 (13.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Zimbabwe would win this match.

Result
ZimbabweDrawNamibia
35.07% (0.177 0.18) 31.58% (0.064 0.06) 33.35% (-0.24100000000001 -0.24)
Both teams to score 38.15% (-0.155 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.26% (-0.174 -0.17)69.74% (0.175 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.93% (-0.11 -0.11)87.07% (0.113 0.11)
Zimbabwe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.39% (0.027000000000001 0.03)37.61% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.61% (0.027000000000001 0.03)74.39% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Namibia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.15% (-0.276 -0.28)38.85% (0.277 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.42% (-0.262 -0.26)75.58% (0.262 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Zimbabwe 35.06%
    Namibia 33.34%
    Draw 31.57%
ZimbabweDrawNamibia
1-0 @ 14.28% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 6.99% (0.055 0.05)
2-1 @ 6.61% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 2.28% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.15% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 1.02% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 35.06%
0-0 @ 14.61% (0.1 0.1)
1-1 @ 13.5% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.12% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 31.57%
0-1 @ 13.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.53% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.39% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.06% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.01% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 0.98% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 33.34%

How you voted: Zimbabwe vs Namibia

Zimbabwe
75.0%
Draw
20.5%
Namibia
4.5%
44
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2024 2pm
Group Stage
Namibia
0-1
Zimbabwe

Katua (24'), Kalula (86')
Billiat (34' pen.)
Hachiro (88')
Jul 11, 2021 1pm
Group Stage
Namibia
2-0
Zimbabwe
Amini (70' og.), Kambindu (86')
Fredericks (10'), Kamberipa (52'), Hambira (76')

Nyahwa (81'), M (85')
rhs 2.0
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