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Belenenses
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4
Aug 27, 2021 at 7pm UK
Estádio Nacional
Moreirense

Belenenses
1 - 1
Moreirense

Akas (29')
Ribeiro (38'), Sousa (56'), Felipe da Silva Nunes (78'), Lukovic (78'), Phete (90+5')
Boni (67'), Petit (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Luis (86')
Vitoria (45+2'), Yan (53'), Camara (78'), Rosic (90+5')

Preview: Belenenses vs. Moreirense - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Belenenses and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Belenenses will continue their hunt for a first point of the season on Friday, when they welcome Moreirense to the Estadio Dr. Magalhaes Pessoa.

A run of three straight defeats to start the campaign has left Petit's side at the foot of the Primeira Liga table, while their visitors have only collected one point from their three matches.


Match preview

Belenenses head coach Petit pictured in July 2020© Reuters

After comfortably surviving the drop last season, succeeding thanks to their thriving defensive line, Petit's men headed into the new campaign with optimism, but it has not got off to an ideal start.

A 1-0 defeat to second-tier Mafra in the Taca da Liga first round provided a warning sign, before goals from Antonio Martinez and Luis Diaz condemned them to a 2-0 defeat to title-chasing Porto in the opening game.

O Belem then took on Maritimo in the second league outing, and they quickly went two goals behind as Andre Vidigal and Ali Alipour got on the scoresheet in the first 15 minutes, and while Alioune Ndour pulled a goal back on the stroke of half time, they could not find an equaliser and again fell to a defeat.

Their league losing run was stretched to three matches last time out, as they faced the tough task of a trip to defending champions Sporting Lisbon, with an early Goncalo Inacio goal and a 48th-minute Joao Palhinha finish making the difference in a 2-0 win for the hosts.

Now as just one of the two sides without a point, Petit's side will be desperate to stop the rot and put a positive result on the board on Friday, although they take on a side equally keen to reverse their fortunes.

Moreirense players including Mateus Pasinato speak to the referee in January 2021© Reuters

Moreirense were also dumped out of the Taca da Liga first round by lower-league opposition at the beginning of the season, as second-tier Penafiel won a penalty shootout after the game finished 1-1.

That did not provide a good platform for the new campaign, as they look to build on last season's eighth-placed finish, and Os Verdes e Brancos got off to a losing start in the league when they took on title-chasing Benfica.

Lucas Verissimo and Luca Waldschmidt scored early to give As Aguias a two-goal lead, and while Rafael Martins pulled a goal back for Moreirense on the half-hour mark, they could not find an equaliser, despite Diogo Goncalves being sent off for their opponents early in the second half.

They then travelled to take on Santa Clara, and a dramatic final stretch took place as their hosts went into the dying minutes with a one-goal lead.

Yan drew Joao Henriques's men level in the 90th minute, but Carlos quickly put their opponents 2-1 up before Andre Luis hit the visitors' second equaliser in the 10th additional minute to earn their first point of the campaign.

They were not able to build on that last time out though, as goals from Steven Vitoria and Paulinho appeared to earn a 2-2 draw against Braga, only for a 95th-minute winner from Ricardo Horta to snatch all three points for the Archbishops.

Having lost two of their opening three matches, Os Verdes e Brancos will go in search of an elusive win on Friday to reverse their fortunes.

Belenenses Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • L
  • L

Belenenses form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L

Moreirense Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • D
  • L

Moreirense form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L



Team News

Belenenses' Miguel Cardoso celebrates scoring their first goal with Afonso Gamelas in December 2020© Reuters

Belenenses come into Friday's game without midfielder Afonso Taira, who was sent off in the dying minutes of the defeat to Sporting Lisbon and will serve a suspension.

That only worsens their troubles in midfield, as Sandro and Sphephelo Sithole are both out of action, with the latter ruled out after a positive coronavirus test.

Another major loss could be important forward Matteo Cassierra, who was absent last time out after hitting 10 league goals last season.

Moreirense will remain without right-back Rodrigo Conceicao, who continues to serve a suspension after he was shown a red card just four minutes into his substitute appearance against Santa Clara.

They boast a threatening front line, with Yan, Rafael Martins and Filipe Soares all expected to keep their places.

Further back, Artur Jorge, Steven Vitoria and Lazar Rosic should again form the back three, shielding Mateus Pasinato between the sticks.

Belenenses possible starting lineup:
Felipe; Phete, Henriques, Ribeiro; Calila, Teixeira, Sousa, Boni, Akas; Nuno, Ndour

Moreirense possible starting lineup:
Pasinato; Jorge, Vitoria, Rosic; Ramos, Pacheco, Soares, Conte; Yan, Martins, Pires


SM words green background

We say: Belenenses 1-2 Moreirense

The visitors boast the stronger of the two squads and have only narrowly fallen short to top sides in their two defeats, marking them as favourites on Friday as a result.

They have certainly shown more positive signs than their opponents, who have looked disappointing so far and could fall to another defeat as they take on a dangerous attacking outfit, with Belenenses' defence failing to click so far this campaign.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Written by
Sam Varley

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 34.8%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 31.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.85%) and 1-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 1-0 (13.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Belenenses vs Moreirense

Belenenses
28.6%
Draw
14.3%
Moreirense
57.1%
35
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Porto1613124093140
2Benfica1512213782938
3Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7MoreirenseMoreirense166372124-321
8Casa Pia155551618-220
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente164661825-718
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora164481425-1116
13Estoril PraiaEstoril163671426-1215
14AVS162861223-1114
15Nacional153481021-1113
16SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
17BoavistaBoavista162681023-1312
18AroucaArouca1633101027-1712


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