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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Sep 14, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Campo La Quinta
Leverkusen logo

Hoffenheim
1 - 4
B. Leverkusen

Berisha (37')
Prass (35'), Matarazzo (61'), Akpoguma (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Terrier (17'), Boniface (30', 75'), Wirtz (72' pen.)
Terrier (39'), Andrich (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 3-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, August 31 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen

 Though Hoffenheim have a strong home record in recent Bundesliga matches, Leverkusen will be looking to bounce back after their historic unbeaten streak came to an end. It would not be surprising if Alonso's side emerged as comfortable victors, although given their recent defensive frailty, they are unlikely to keep a clean sheet. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.67%) and 0-1 (5.63%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawBayer Leverkusen
32.05% (-1.158 -1.16) 21.82% (-0.158 -0.16) 46.13% (1.315 1.32)
Both teams to score 68.35% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.69% (0.301 0.3)31.31% (-0.303 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.24% (0.354 0.35)52.75% (-0.35599999999999 -0.36)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.76% (-0.45599999999999 -0.46)20.23% (0.454 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.43% (-0.731 -0.73)52.56% (0.73 0.73)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.69% (0.571 0.57)14.31% (-0.573 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.87% (1.103 1.1)42.12% (-1.106 -1.11)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 32.05%
    Bayer Leverkusen 46.13%
    Draw 21.82%
HoffenheimDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 7.19% (-0.177 -0.18)
1-0 @ 4.63% (-0.144 -0.14)
3-1 @ 3.83% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-2 @ 3.72% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-0 @ 3.7% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-0 @ 1.97% (-0.119 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.53% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.49% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-3 @ 0.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 32.05%
1-1 @ 8.99% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.99% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.89% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-3 @ 2.41% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 21.82%
1-2 @ 8.74% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
1-3 @ 5.67% (0.171 0.17)
0-1 @ 5.63% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.47% (0.132 0.13)
2-3 @ 4.53% (0.074 0.07)
0-3 @ 3.55% (0.155 0.16)
1-4 @ 2.76% (0.137 0.14)
2-4 @ 2.2% (0.08 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.73% (0.109 0.11)
3-4 @ 1.17% (0.026 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.07% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 46.13%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs B. Leverkusen

Hoffenheim
9.7%
Draw
11.8%
Bayer Leverkusen
78.5%
93
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
B. Leverkusen
2-1
Hoffenheim
Andrich (88'), Schick (90+1')
Beier (33')
Drexler (19')
> Preview
Nov 4, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Hoffenheim
2-3
B. Leverkusen
Stach (56'), Weghorst (58')
Weghorst (45+3'), Kabak (48'), Promel (60')
Wirtz (9'), Grimaldo (45+1', 70')
Hradecky (72'), Tah (81')
> Preview
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Hoffenheim
1-3
B. Leverkusen
Nsoki (77')
Andrich (6'), Diaby (46'), Hlozek (56')
> Preview
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
B. Leverkusen
0-3
Hoffenheim

Diaby (56')
Baumgartner (9'), Kramaric (35'), Rutter (78')
Kabak (57'), Rutter (74'), Angelino (83'), Akpoguma (86')
> Preview
May 7, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 33
Hoffenheim
2-4
B. Leverkusen
Rutter (22'), Baumgartner (36')
Dabour (66')
Schick (34', 76'), Diaby (73'), Alario (90+1')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern64202071314
2RB Leipzig642092714
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt6411149513
4Freiburg640297212
5Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen63211612411
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin632164211
7Borussia DortmundDortmund63121211110
8Stuttgart6231151149
9Heidenheim630310829
10Mainz 05Mainz6222111018
11Werder Bremen6222812-48
12Wolfsburg6213131217
13Augsburg6213915-67
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach6204710-36
15St Pauli611449-54
16Hoffenheim61141016-64
17Holstein Kiel6024919-102
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum6015614-81
> Bundesliga Full Table


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