Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Heidenheim 1-1 Mainz
Sunday, May 5 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, May 5 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: PSG 0-1 Dortmund
Tuesday, May 7 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, May 7 at 8pm in Champions League
We said: Mainz 05 1-2 Borussia Dortmund
Dortmund have won each of their last six away games against Mainz, and even with a number of changes, we still think that the Champions League finalists will do enough to claim all three points in Saturday's contest. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
49.24% ( -0.01) | 22.41% ( 0) | 28.34% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 63.62% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
