Real Madrid2 - 1Bayern
The Match
Analysis
Match Report
Live Commentary
Team News
Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, May 4 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Saturday, May 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.73%) and 1-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Bayern Munich |
46.67% ( -0.25) | 21.81% ( 0.14) | 31.52% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 68.07% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
