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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 51.2%. A win for Swansea City has a probability of 25.47% and a draw has a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Swansea City win is 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.88%).
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Swansea City |
51.2% ( 1.67) | 23.32% ( 0.05) | 25.47% ( -1.72) |
Both teams to score 57.76% ( -1.79) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.9% ( -1.64) | 43.09% ( 1.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.51% ( -1.64) | 65.49% ( 1.63) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.1% ( 0) | 16.9% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.05% ( 0.01) | 46.95% ( -0.02) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.51% ( -2.16) | 30.49% ( 2.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.29% ( -2.65) | 66.7% ( 2.64) |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Swansea City |
2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.65) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.58) 3-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.34) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.15% Total : 51.2% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.27) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.36) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.32% | 1-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.31) 0-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.29) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.26) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.98% Total : 25.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 12 |
2 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 11 |
3 | Burnley | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 10 |
4 | Watford | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 10 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 10 |
6 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
7 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
8 | Derby CountyDerby | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
9 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
12 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 6 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 6 |
14 | Coventry CityCoventry | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 |
15 | Norwich CityNorwich | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 5 |
16 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 5 |
17 | Bristol City | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
18 | Millwall | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 4 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 4 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 |
21 | Preston North EndPreston | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 4 |
22 | Portsmouth | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 |
23 | Hull City | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 11 | -10 | 1 |
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