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Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Sunderland

Norwich
1 - 0
Sunderland

Sargent (81')
Giannoulis (76'), Sorensen (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hume (44'), Ekwah (59'), Seelt (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Norwich
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 1-2 Swansea
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 3-1 Sunderland

Despite dropping two points at Blackburn last weekend, Norwich are still in brilliant form and should be confident of potentially breaking into the top six on Saturday. Sunderland are in a real rut as they battle on without their star man Clarke and a permanent manager, so we are not expecting much from the Black Cats at Carrow Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawSunderland
41.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.66% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 33.44% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.35% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)44.65% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.99% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)67.01% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.64% (0.00099999999999056 0)21.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.67%54.33% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)25.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.22% (0.010999999999996 0.01)60.78% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 41.9%
    Sunderland 33.44%
    Draw 24.66%
Norwich CityDrawSunderland
2-1 @ 8.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 6.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.58%
3-0 @ 3.38% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.1%
4-1 @ 1.77%
4-0 @ 1.31%
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 41.9%
1-1 @ 11.52%
2-2 @ 6.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.66%
1-2 @ 7.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 7.47%
0-2 @ 5.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 33.44%

How you voted: Norwich vs Sunderland

Norwich City
73.8%
Draw
19.0%
Sunderland
7.1%
42
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Sunderland
3-1
Norwich
Hume (37'), Neill (45'), Clarke (80' pen.)
Ekwah (24'), O'Nien (41'), Pritchard (89'), Semedo (90+5')
Ui-jo (23')
Fassnacht (11'), Giannoulis (61'), McLean (79'), Idah (90+5')
Mar 12, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 36
Norwich
0-1
Sunderland
Ba (15')
Aug 27, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 6
Sunderland
0-1
Norwich

Cirkin (25'), O'Nien (35')
Sargent (76')
Sargent (90+1'), Krul (90+2')
Apr 10, 2018 7.45pm
Aug 13, 2017 1.30pm
Norwich
1-3
Sunderland
Grabban (78' og.)
Grabban (27', 71'), McGeady (59')
Vaughan (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ipswich TownIpswich432611685533289
2Leicester CityLeicester422841079384188
3Leeds UnitedLeeds43269876344287
4Southampton42259884543084
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4320121166422472
6Norwich CityNorwich432181476601671
7Hull City421811136254865
8Coventry CityCoventry4217121366521463
9Middlesbrough43189166156563
10Preston North EndPreston43189165660-463
11Cardiff CityCardiff43185204860-1259
12Bristol City431610175046458
13Sunderland43168195250256
14Swansea CitySwansea431411185362-953
15Watford431216155958152
16Millwall431311194255-1350
17Blackburn RoversBlackburn431310205771-1449
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth431212195866-848
19Queens Park RangersQPR431211204057-1747
20Stoke CityStoke431211204160-1947
21Birmingham CityBirmingham43129224864-1645
22Huddersfield TownHuddersfield43917174770-2344
23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds43128233667-3144
RRotherham UnitedRotherham43411283285-5323


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