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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 52.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 22.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Millwall |
52.26% ( -1.02) | 25.2% ( 0.32) | 22.53% ( 0.7) |
Both teams to score 48.58% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.34% ( -0.52) | 53.66% ( 0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.84% ( -0.44) | 75.15% ( 0.44) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.46% ( -0.62) | 20.54% ( 0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.95% ( -0.99) | 53.04% ( 0.99) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.14% ( 0.4) | 38.86% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.41% ( 0.38) | 75.59% ( -0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Millwall |
1-0 @ 12.63% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.56% Total : 52.26% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.48% Total : 22.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 19 |
3 | Burnley | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 18 |
4 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 17 |
5 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 16 |
6 | Watford | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 16 |
7 | Norwich CityNorwich | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 15 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 15 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 |
10 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 12 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
13 | Hull City | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
14 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Bristol City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 11 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
18 | Millwall | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 9 |
19 | Preston North EndPreston | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 9 |
20 | Coventry CityCoventry | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 8 |
22 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
23 | Portsmouth | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 5 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 18 | -14 | 5 |
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