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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 53.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 22.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swansea City in this match.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Norwich City |
53.82% ( 0.1) | 23.45% ( -0.05) | 22.72% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 54.15% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.6% ( 0.16) | 46.4% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.32% ( 0.15) | 68.68% ( -0.15) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.84% ( 0.1) | 17.16% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.59% ( 0.17) | 47.41% ( -0.17) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.37% ( 0.04) | 34.63% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.65% ( 0.05) | 71.35% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Norwich City |
1-0 @ 10.47% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.23% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.84% Total : 53.82% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.45% | 0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.08% 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 22.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 19 |
3 | Burnley | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 18 |
4 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 17 |
5 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 16 |
6 | Watford | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 16 |
7 | Norwich CityNorwich | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 15 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 15 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 |
10 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 12 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
13 | Hull City | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
14 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Bristol City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 11 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
18 | Millwall | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 9 |
19 | Preston North EndPreston | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 9 |
20 | Coventry CityCoventry | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 8 |
22 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
23 | Portsmouth | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 5 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 18 | -14 | 5 |
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