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Milan logo
Coppa Italia | Round of 16
Dec 3, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Sassuolo logo

AC Milan
6 - 1
Sassuolo

Chukwueze (12', 21'), Reijnders (17'), Leao (23'), Calabria (56'), Abraham (62')
Terracciano (80')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Mulattieri (59')
Paz (39'), Odenthal (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Coppa Italia clash between AC Milan and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last Game: AC Milan 3-0 Empoli
Saturday, November 30 at 5pm in Serie A

Sassuolo

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Reggiana 0-2 Sassuolo
Friday, November 29 at 7.30pm in Serie B

We said: AC Milan 2-1 Sassuolo

 Sassuolo should cause a potentially makeshift Milan some problems in an intriguing last-16 clash - particularly given their current form and past successes at San Siro. However, Paulo Fonseca can call upon a talented second string, and the Rossoneri should march on to a quarter-final tie against either Roma or Sampdoria. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 52.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 23.33%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawSassuolo
52.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 23.7% (0.123 0.12) 23.33% (-0.128 -0.13)
Both teams to score 54.13% (-0.561 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.2% (-0.67 -0.67)46.8% (0.672 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.95% (-0.63 -0.63)69.05% (0.63199999999999 0.63)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.38% (-0.244 -0.24)17.62% (0.246 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.79% (-0.42700000000001 -0.43)48.21% (0.429 0.43)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.71% (-0.48399999999999 -0.48)34.29% (0.486 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29% (-0.519 -0.52)70.99% (0.52200000000001 0.52)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 52.97%
    Sassuolo 23.33%
    Draw 23.69%
AC MilanDrawSassuolo
1-0 @ 10.49% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.11% (0.111 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.64% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.27% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.45% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.29% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 52.97%
1-1 @ 11.22% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.04% (0.169 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.69%
0-1 @ 6.47% (0.097 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.01% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.46% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 23.33%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Sassuolo

AC Milan
80.7%
Draw
11.9%
Sassuolo
7.3%
109
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 32
Sassuolo
3-3
AC Milan
Pinamonti (4'), Lauriente (10', 53')
Marco Ferrari (19'), Ruan (57'), Thiaw (69')
Leao (20'), Jovic (59'), Okafor (84')
Pinamonti (68')
> Preview
Dec 30, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 18
AC Milan
1-0
Sassuolo
Pulisic (59')

Castillejo (88')
> Preview
Jan 29, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 20
AC Milan
2-5
Sassuolo
Giroud (24'), Origi (81')
Defrel (19'), Frattesi (21'), Berardi (30'), Lauriente (47' pen.), Henrique (79')
> Preview
Aug 30, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Sassuolo
0-0
AC Milan
> Preview
May 22, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 38
Sassuolo
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AC Milan

Lopez (37'), Kiriakopoulos (53')
Giroud (17', 32'), Kessie (36')
Tonali (34')
> Preview
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