Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 94%. A draw had a probability of 4.8% and a win for Espaly-Saint-Marcel had a probability of 1.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-3 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (13.91%) and 0-2 (12.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.2%), while for a Espaly-Saint-Marcel win it was 1-0 (0.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.