We said: Thaon 1-2 Strasbourg
Strasbourg's quality and recent form make them strong favorites, but Thaon's history of giant-killing in the Coupe de France adds intrigue to this clash.
However, we expect the Ligue 1 side's superior depth to prevail and secure a win, even though the hosts could push them hard.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 89.61%. A draw had a probability of 7.5% and a win for Thaon had a probability of 2.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.18%) and 0-4 (10.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.54%), while for a Thaon win it was 1-0 (1.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.