MX23RW : Thursday, February 13 13:32:24| >> :600:469990:469990:
Toulouse
Coupe de France | Round of 32
Jan 15, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)

Toulouse
2 - 1
Laval

Genreau (20'), Cresswell (24')
Cresswell (70'), McKenzie (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Adilehou (85')
Cherni (28'), Tell (67'), Kokolo (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coupe de France clash between Toulouse and Laval, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toulouse 1-2 Strasbourg
Sunday, January 12 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Laval 1-1 Red Star
Friday, January 10 at 7pm in Ligue 2

We said: Toulouse 2-1 Laval

Toulouse should assert their Ligue 1 quality at home, but Laval's knack for dragging games into penalties cannot be ignored. While the visitors will likely defend resolutely, the penultimate Coupe de France champions have the firepower to break through and secure progression, potentially in a hard-fought, narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 49.53%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Laval had a probability of 24.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Laval win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Toulouse in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Toulouse.

Result
ToulouseDrawLaval
49.53% (0.20699999999999 0.21) 26.38% (0.112 0.11) 24.09% (-0.317 -0.32)
Both teams to score 46.94% (-0.612 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.33% (-0.64100000000001 -0.64)56.68% (0.644 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.37% (-0.518 -0.52)77.64% (0.52000000000001 0.52)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.05% (-0.17999999999999 -0.18)22.95% (0.183 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.27% (-0.267 -0.27)56.73% (0.27 0.27)
Laval Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.92% (-0.648 -0.65)39.08% (0.651 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.2% (-0.615 -0.61)75.8% (0.617 0.62)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 49.53%
    Laval 24.09%
    Draw 26.38%
ToulouseDrawLaval
1-0 @ 13.2% (0.26 0.26)
2-0 @ 9.71% (0.135 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.77% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.48% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 49.53%
1-1 @ 12.4% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.97% (0.219 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 26.38%
0-1 @ 8.43% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 5.83% (-0.095 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.96% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.83% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.24% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 24.09%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Laval

Toulouse
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Laval
0.0%
16
rhs 2.0
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