Whether Fredrikstad's heavy loss to Tromso is simply a minor setback or indicative of a long-term regression remains to be seen, but the visitors can usually be backed to flaunt their attacking prowess on the road.
However, Rosenborg will undoubtedly boast the fresher legs and also have momentum on their side from last weekend's triumph, so Johansson's men are certainly good enough for a point against the high-flyers.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 52.27%. A win for Fredrikstad had a probability of 24.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Fredrikstad win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
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