MX23RW : Thursday, July 25 15:32:31| >> :120:46584:46584:
Belgium national football team
European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 17, 2024 at 5pm UK
Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt am Main)
Slovakia national football team

Belgium
0 - 1
Slovakia


Mangala (29'), Tielemans (76'), Lukebakio (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Schranz (7')
Schranz (41')

The Match

Match Report

Slovakia record the shock of Euro 2024 so far with a 1-0 victory over Belgium in Frankfurt.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's European Championship clash between Belgium and Slovakia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Belgium could line up in their opening Euro 2024 fixture with Slovakia.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Belgium 3-0 Luxembourg
Saturday, June 8 at 7pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Slovakia 4-0 Wales
Sunday, June 9 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 49.64%. A win for Slovakia had a probability of 26.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Slovakia win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
BelgiumDrawSlovakia
49.64% (-2.637 -2.64) 23.62% (0.319 0.32) 26.72% (2.312 2.31)
Both teams to score 57.92% (1.243 1.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.57% (0.578 0.58)43.43% (-0.582 -0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.17% (0.566 0.57)65.82% (-0.56999999999999 -0.57)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.39% (-0.76400000000001 -0.76)17.61% (0.76 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.81% (-1.339 -1.34)48.19% (1.336 1.34)
Slovakia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.29% (2.139 2.14)29.7% (-2.142 -2.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.24% (2.519 2.52)65.76% (-2.523 -2.52)
Score Analysis
    Belgium 49.65%
    Slovakia 26.73%
    Draw 23.62%
BelgiumDrawSlovakia
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-0 @ 9.08% (-0.471 -0.47)
2-0 @ 7.89% (-0.62 -0.62)
3-1 @ 5.55% (-0.235 -0.24)
3-0 @ 4.57% (-0.484 -0.48)
3-2 @ 3.37% (0.058 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.41% (-0.166 -0.17)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.266 -0.27)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 49.65%
1-1 @ 11.02% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.81% (0.241 0.24)
0-0 @ 5.23% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.1 0.1)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.62%
1-2 @ 6.69% (0.437 0.44)
0-1 @ 6.35% (0.21 0.21)
0-2 @ 3.85% (0.341 0.34)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.322 0.32)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.227 0.23)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.219 0.22)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 26.73%

How you voted: Belgium vs Slovakia

Belgium
86.8%
Draw
10.5%
Slovakia
2.7%
619
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