Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Biggleswade win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for AFC Dunstable had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Biggleswade win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.46%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest AFC Dunstable win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Biggleswade in this match.
0.29) 
-0.31) 
