MX23RW : Friday, February 7 15:04:46| >> :60:418:418:
Peterborough United
FA Cup | Second Round
Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Notts County

Peterborough
4 - 3
Notts County

Jade-Jones (10', 73'), Randall (77'), Odoh (87')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Scott (13'), Platt (16'), Abbott (90+6')
Austin (80'), Abbott (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Peterborough United and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Peterborough 1-2 Reading
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Notts County 0-0 Newport
Saturday, November 23 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Peterborough United 2-0 Notts County

Reading aside, Peterborough have been breaching nets for fun over the past few weeks and should need no second invitation to capitalise on Notts County's patchy form and ongoing selection woes. There ought to be no FA Cup shocks or barnstorming comebacks at the Weston Homes Stadium, where Peterborough have our vote to comfortably advance to round three, most likely with a long-awaited clean sheet. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 56.41%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 24.01% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.89%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (5.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawNotts County
56.41% (0.11199999999999 0.11) 19.58% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 24.01% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 69.99% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.52% (0.028999999999996 0.03)26.48% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.17% (0.038000000000004 0.04)46.83% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.31% (0.034999999999997 0.03)9.69% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.69% (0.085000000000008 0.09)32.31% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.5% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)22.5% (0.041999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.94% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)56.06% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 56.41%
    Notts County 24.01%
    Draw 19.58%
Peterborough UnitedDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.89% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.94% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 5.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 5.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.62% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.02% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.7% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.88% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.49% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.26% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 56.41%
1-1 @ 7.59% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.61% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.56% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 2.18% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 19.58%
1-2 @ 5.66% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.29% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.43% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-4 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 24.01%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Notts County

Peterborough United
84.2%
Notts County
15.8%
19
Head to Head
Aug 3, 2024 3.30pm
Club Friendlies 3
Peterborough
1-0
Notts County
Conn (66')
Aug 3, 2024 1.30pm
Dec 20, 2016 7.45pm
Dec 4, 2016 2pm
Second Round
Notts County
2-2
Peterborough
Campbell (42'), Laing (90')
Da Silva Lopes (3'), Edwards (15')
Anthony Angol (45')
Jan 24, 2015 3pm
Notts County
1-2
Peterborough
Thompson (41')
Smith (24'), Carroll (26')
Maddison (13'), Burgess (62')
Brisley (33'), Burgess (75'), Smith (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool23175156213556
2Arsenal24148249222750
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest24145540271347
4Chelsea24127547311643
5Manchester CityMan City24125748351341
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle24125742291341
7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Aston Villa2410773437-337
9Fulham249963632436
10Brentford24103114342133
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton248973539-433
12Crystal Palace247982830-230
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2485112834-629
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs24831348371127
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham2476112946-1727
16Everton236892328-526
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!