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J1 League | Gameweek 19
Jun 22, 2024 at 7am UK
Machida Gion Stadium (Tokyo)

Machida Zelvia
0 - 0
Avispa Fukuoka

FT

Oda (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Machida Zelvia and Avispa Fukuoka, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Yokohama 1-3 Machida Zelvia
Saturday, June 15 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-0 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, June 16 at 7.30am in J1 League

We said: Machida Zelvia 2-1 Avispa Fukuoka

With two of the J1 League's form teams squaring off, we certainly anticipate a close and hard-fought encounter at the weekend, which could be split by a single goal. The visitors will travel with confidence from three straight wins, but the league leaders have shown their quality more throughout the season and could get the job done on home turf to strengthen their position at the summit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Machida ZelviaDrawAvispa Fukuoka
42.33% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 27.66% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 30.01% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 47.48% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.96% (0.024999999999999 0.02)58.03% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.28% (0.018000000000001 0.02)78.72% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Machida Zelvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.91% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)27.08% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.54% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)62.46% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.12% (0.040000000000006 0.04)34.88% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.38% (0.044 0.04)71.62% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Machida Zelvia 42.33%
    Avispa Fukuoka 30.01%
    Draw 27.65%
Machida ZelviaDrawAvispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 12.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.51% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 42.33%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 9.45% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.47% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.65%
0-1 @ 9.95%
1-2 @ 6.85% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.24% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 30.01%

How you voted: Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka

Machida Zelvia
50.0%
Draw
25.0%
Avispa Fukuoka
25.0%
12
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Machida Zelvia24154537191849
2Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka24135628181044
3Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers2413563930944
4Vissel KobeVissel Kobe24126637211642
5Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima23910439241537
6Cerezo OsakaCerezo2491053226637
7FC Tokyo2410683532336
8Avispa Fukuoka249872322135
9Tokyo Verdy2481063236-434
10Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa249693934533
11Yokohama F MarinosYokohama2495103737032
12Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus2494112729-231
13Kashiwa ReysolReysol247893036-629
14Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki2461083535028
15Albirex Niigata2477103237-528
16Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare2467113438-425
17Kyoto Sanga2467112238-1625
18Jubilo Iwata2466123040-1024
19Sagan Tosu2372143040-1023
20Consadole SapporoConsadole2436152147-2615


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