Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 36.81%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (10.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Villarreal in this match.
Result | ||
Mallorca | Draw | Villarreal |
36.81% ( -0.23) | 27.94% ( 0.01) | 35.25% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 47.95% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.95% ( -0.04) | 58.05% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.27% ( -0.03) | 78.73% ( 0.03) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.74% ( -0.16) | 30.26% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.57% ( -0.19) | 66.43% ( 0.19) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.76% ( 0.12) | 31.24% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.41% ( 0.14) | 67.59% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Mallorca | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 36.8% | 1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.93% | 0-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 35.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 24 |
2 | Real Madrid | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 21 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Villarreal | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Osasuna | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 14 |
7 | Mallorca | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 14 |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 13 |
9 | Celta Vigo | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
11 | GironaGirona | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 12 |
12 | Sevilla | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 12 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 10 |
14 | Espanyol | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 |
15 | Real Sociedad | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 9 |
16 | Getafe | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
17 | Leganes | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 8 |
18 | Valencia | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 6 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 5 |
20 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 3 |
> La Liga Full Table |