Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Girona had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Girona |
45.81% (![]() | 24.3% (![]() | 29.89% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.99% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.6% (![]() | 44.4% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.23% (![]() | 66.77% (![]() |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.48% (![]() | 19.52% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.59% (![]() | 51.41% (![]() |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.05% (![]() | 27.95% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.42% (![]() | 63.58% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Girona |
2-1 @ 9.28% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.91% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.28% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.05% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.97% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.22% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.32% ( ![]() Other @ 3.1% Total : 45.81% | 1-1 @ 11.36% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.92% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.46% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.37% ( ![]() Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.29% | 1-2 @ 7.24% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.96% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.43% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.08% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.51% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.88% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.8% Total : 29.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 51 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 39 | 16 | 23 | 50 |
3 | Barcelona | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 64 | 25 | 39 | 48 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 45 |
5 | Villarreal | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 41 |
6 | Rayo Vallecano | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 35 |
7 | Mallorca | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 34 |
8 | Osasuna | 24 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 32 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 31 |
10 | GironaGirona | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 31 |
11 | Sevilla | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 31 |
12 | Getafe | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 30 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 29 |
14 | Real BetisBetis | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 29 |
15 | Espanyol | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 24 |
16 | Leganes | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 24 |
17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 23 |
18 | Valencia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 23 |
19 | AlavesAlaves | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 22 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 52 | -37 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |