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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Cambridge United

Barnsley
1 - 1
Cambridge

Lewis (90+2')
Durand de Gevigney (55'), Russell (90+5'), Nwakali (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Brophy (9')
Malone (45+1'), Stevenson (49'), Gibbons (77'), Morrison (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mansfield 2-1 Barnsley
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Peterborough
Saturday, March 15 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 1-1 Cambridge United

Neither side come into the clash in strong form, and their match on Saturday is likely to be a low-scoring affair. Given Barnsley and Cambridge have struggled at home and on the road respectively, perhaps fans can expect the clubs to play out a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 54.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 21.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawCambridge United
54.95% (0.212 0.21) 23.56% (-0.107 -0.11) 21.49% (-0.101 -0.1)
Both teams to score 52.17% (0.202 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.77% (0.337 0.34)48.22% (-0.331 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.62% (0.308 0.31)70.38% (-0.30200000000001 -0.3)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.58% (0.203 0.2)17.42% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.14% (0.35 0.35)47.86% (-0.345 -0.34)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.18% (0.092999999999996 0.09)36.82% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.39% (0.089000000000002 0.09)73.61% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 54.94%
    Cambridge United 21.49%
    Draw 23.55%
BarnsleyDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 11.2% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 9.79% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.71% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.7% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.49% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.49% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 54.94%
1-1 @ 11.19% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.41% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.89% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.55%
0-1 @ 6.41% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-2 @ 5.59% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.2% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 21.49%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Cambridge

Barnsley
79.2%
Draw
8.3%
Cambridge United
12.5%
48
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 16
Cambridge
1-1
Barnsley
N'Lundulu (4')
Njoku (49'), Bennett (71'), Loft (75')
Humphrys (17')
Humphrys (16'), Gent (17'), Russell (51')
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Barnsley
0-2
Cambridge

McCart (46'), Earl (68')
Durand de Gevigney (13' og.), Ahadme (72')
Jobe (69'), Bennett (70')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Cambridge
0-4
Barnsley

Morrison (59'), Lankester (63')
Cadden (7'), Durand de Gevigney (33'), Watters (59'), Russell (83')
Styles (67'), Cadden (79')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Barnsley
2-0
Cambridge
Watters (8'), Williams (64')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Cambridge
0-3
Barnsley
Cole (24'), Cundy (76'), Norwood (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham41299373294496
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe432412769373284
3Wrexham432411860332783
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4323101060392179
5Stockport CountyStockport432212964382678
6Leyton Orient432161665461969
7Reading431912125952769
8Bolton WanderersBolton43206176364-166
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield43197175546964
10Blackpool4216151166541263
11Lincoln CityLincoln431513155849958
12Barnsley43169186368-557
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham431510185156-555
14Exeter CityExeter431411184558-1353
15Stevenage421410183947-852
16Wigan AthleticWigan421214163639-350
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough421310196373-1049
18Mansfield TownMansfield42139205262-1048
19Northampton TownNorthampton431114184361-1847
20Burton Albion421013194459-1543
21Bristol Rovers43127244369-2643
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge43911234267-2538
23Crawley TownCrawley43910244981-3237
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4379273772-3530


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