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League One | Gameweek 18
Dec 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Mansfield Town

Bolton
3 - 1
Mansfield

Charles (75'), Adeboyejo (80'), McAtee (85')
Collins (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Boateng (34')
Bowery (46'), Evans (59'), Boateng (59'), Oshilaja (90+1')
Boateng (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Bolton
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Mansfield Town

Mansfield are on a poor run of form in the league, having lost three and drawn one of their last four, and with Bolton having avoided defeat in their last seven home games, we believe the hosts will win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 46.84%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 28.18% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawMansfield Town
46.84% (0.278 0.28) 24.98% (0.11 0.11) 28.18% (-0.388 -0.39)
Both teams to score 54.56% (-0.629 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.62% (-0.7 -0.7)48.38% (0.7 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.48% (-0.643 -0.64)70.52% (0.64400000000001 0.64)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.3% (-0.163 -0.16)20.69% (0.164 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.7% (-0.261 -0.26)53.29% (0.261 0.26)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.8% (-0.64999999999999 -0.65)31.2% (0.652 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.46% (-0.765 -0.77)67.54% (0.765 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 46.84%
    Mansfield Town 28.18%
    Draw 24.98%
Bolton WanderersDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 10.17% (0.241 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.01% (0.15 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.21% (0.058000000000001 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.85% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 46.84%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.46% (0.185 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.98%
0-1 @ 7.52% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
1-2 @ 6.9% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 4.38% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.68% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 28.18%

How you voted: Bolton vs Mansfield

Bolton Wanderers
78.0%
Draw
15.3%
Mansfield Town
6.8%
59
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2024 7.45pm
First Round
Bolton
1-1
Mansfield
(Aggregate 1-1 | Bolton win 5-4 on penalties)
Thomason (68')
Evatt (29'), Johnston (39'), McAtee (41')
Keillor-Dunn (83')
MacDonald (28'), Oshilaja (67'), Boateng (78'), Keillor-Dunn (90+3')
Feb 17, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 26
Mansfield
2-3
Bolton
Clarke (65'), Reid (72')
Charsley (2'), Perch (11')
John (79'), Benning (85' og.), Gnahoua (89')
Nov 3, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 11
Bolton
1-1
Mansfield
Sarcevic (90')
Lapslie (57')
Lapslie (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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