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Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 4
Aug 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Derby logo

Shrewsbury
0 - 0
Derby


Bayliss (75'), Flanagan (77'), Nurse (88')
FT

Knight (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-2 Derby County

Signs of life at Shrewsbury could be dimmed by Derby's visit, as Liam Rosenior's reign starts to take shape following a long summer of upheaval. The visitors can boast plenty of experience at a higher level, and have the individual quality to seize the moments that matter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 43.16%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawDerby County
29.4% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 27.44% (0.004999999999999 0) 43.16% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.81% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.53% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)57.47% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.72% (-0.023 -0.02)78.27% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.95% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)35.05% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.21% (-0.029 -0.03)71.79% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.61% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)26.39% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.46% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)61.54% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 29.4%
    Derby County 43.16%
    Draw 27.43%
Shrewsbury TownDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 9.7% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 6.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 5.08% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.78% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 29.4%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 9.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.43%
0-1 @ 12.32% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.61% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 8.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 3.65% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 43.16%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Derby

Shrewsbury Town
16.0%
Draw
16.0%
Derby County
68.0%
50
rhs 2.0
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