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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
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Carlisle United
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Chesterfield
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Morecambe
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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Cheltenham Town
League Two | Gameweek 17
Nov 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Tranmere Rovers

Cheltenham
1 - 0
Tranmere

Colwill (89')
Payne (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)

O'Connor (48'), Norris (68'), Davies (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Cheltenham Town and Tranmere Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 3-2 Cheltenham
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 0-2 Tranmere
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-1 Tranmere Rovers

With just one point separating the two sides, we expect Friday's contest to be a closely-fought affair, and with that in mind, we think that Cheltenham may have to settle for a draw for a third consecutive home match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cheltenham Town in this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawTranmere Rovers
40.19% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07) 26.22% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 33.58% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 53.07% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.52% (0.036000000000001 0.04)51.47% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.72% (0.030999999999999 0.03)73.28% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.79% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)25.2% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.06% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)59.94% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.96% (0.067999999999998 0.07)29.04% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.06% (0.084000000000003 0.08)64.94% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 40.18%
    Tranmere Rovers 33.58%
    Draw 26.22%
Cheltenham TownDrawTranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 10.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.59% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.44%
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 40.18%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 7.32% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 9.05% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.71% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.6% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.18% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 33.58%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Tranmere

Cheltenham Town
38.2%
Draw
41.2%
Tranmere Rovers
20.6%
34
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 39
Cheltenham
4-0
Tranmere
Thomas (4'), Boyle (14'), May (42'), Wright (57')
Sercombe (35'), Smith (52')

O'Connor (45+3')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 2
Tranmere
0-3
Cheltenham

Vaughan (44'), Lewis (90+1')
Raglan (6'), Williams (20'), Lewis (39' og.)
Blair (88'), Sercombe (88')
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 28
Cheltenham
1-3
Tranmere
Varney (42')
Broom (24')
Norwood (46'), Miller (61'), Banks (72')
Banks (39'), McCullough (69'), Harris (83')
Aug 11, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 2
Tranmere
1-0
Cheltenham
Norwood (13')
McNulty (71')
Feb 20, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall30186656332360
2Notts County30158747291853
3Bradford CityBradford30158740281253
4AFC Wimbledon29157742202252
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster3015784437752
6Port Vale30141063932752
7Salford City3013983829948
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe31121273631548
9Grimsby Town30143134246-445
10Chesterfield29119948341442
11Colchester UnitedColchester2991373530540
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood29101093935440
13Bromley3091294040039
14Newport CountyNewport30116134147-639
15MK Dons30115144343038
16Swindon TownSwindon31911114647-138
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham29108113741-438
18BarrowBarrow30107133233-137
19Gillingham2996142633-733
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2979133446-1230
21Harrogate TownHarrogate3186172542-1730
22Tranmere RoversTranmere3069152148-2727
23Morecambe3065192748-2123
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3056192349-2621


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