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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 52.72%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 24.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Walsall |
52.72% ( 0.04) | 23.05% ( -0.01) | 24.22% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 57.31% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.92% ( 0.01) | 43.07% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.52% ( 0.01) | 65.47% ( -0.02) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.65% ( 0.02) | 16.35% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.05% ( 0.03) | 45.95% ( -0.04) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.5% ( -0.02) | 31.49% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.11% ( -0.02) | 67.88% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Walsall |
2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.32% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.89% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 52.73% | 1-1 @ 10.77% 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.05% | 1-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 24.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
3 | Notts County | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 26 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 22 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
8 | MK Dons | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 21 |
11 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Salford City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 20 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 19 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 15 |
18 | Bromley | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 14 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 12 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 |
24 | Morecambe | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 7 |
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