Leagues Cup | Round of 16
Aug 13, 2024 at 3.30am UK
CenturyLink Field
We said: Seattle Sounders 2-1 Pumas
Pumas have put together a fine run of results in recent weeks and will be backing themselves to secure the desired results on Monday. However, Seattle have been rock-solid at home, where they are unbeaten in 12 of their last 14 games in all competitions, and we are backing them to come out on top at Lumen Field.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 48.87% . A win for Pumas had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.9% .
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.86%) . The likeliest Pumas win was 1-2 (6.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%) . The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.
Result Seattle Sounders Draw Pumas 48.87% ( 0.49) 23.89% ( 0.05) 27.23% ( -0.54)
Both teams to score 57.45% ( -0.62)
55.74% ( -0.62) 44.25% ( 0.62)
33.37% ( -0.61) 66.63% ( 0.6)
81.78% ( -0.05) 18.22% ( 0.05)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 50.75% ( -0.09) 49.24% ( 0.08)
70.24% ( -0.72) 29.75% ( 0.72)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 34.18% ( -0.88) 65.82% ( 0.88)
Seattle Sounders 48.87%
Pumas 27.23%
Draw 23.89%
Seattle Sounders Draw Pumas 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.52% Total : 48.87% 1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.89% 1-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.21% Total : 27.23%
How you voted: Seattle vs Pumas
Seattle Sounders
Draw
Pumas
30
rhs 2.0
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