Leagues Cup | Round of 32
Aug 10, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca win 5-4 on penalties
We said: Toluca 1-3 Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo were slow to kickstart their cup journey but will know that any further underwhelming displays from here on out could lead to an exit from the competition.
We expect them to up the ante in Saturday's contest and claim a relatively routine win at the end of the 90 minutes.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 56.69%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 22.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.16%) and 1-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%).
Result |
Toluca | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
56.69% ( -1.43) | 21.27% ( 0.66) | 22.03% ( 0.77) |
Both teams to score 60.71% ( -1.25) |
62.71% ( -2.15) | 37.29% ( 2.15) |
40.5% ( -2.36) | 59.5% ( 2.36) |
86.93% ( -1.1) | 13.07% ( 1.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.34% ( -2.29) | 39.66% ( 2.29) |
69.84% ( -0.55) | 30.16% ( 0.55) |