MX23RW : Monday, October 14 14:32:26| >> :60:274:274:
Leagues Cup | Group Stage
Aug 6, 2024 at 2am UK
Children's Mercy Park
Sporting Kansas

Toluca
2 - 1
Kansas

Angulo (40'), Araujo (66')
Meneses (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Afrifa (45+1')
Leibold (45+3'), Rosero (79'), Vermes (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Leagues Cup clash between Toluca and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toluca 3-1 Chicago Fire
Friday, August 2 at 2am in Leagues Cup

We said: Toluca 1-2 Sporting Kansas City

This looks like a very even contest after both these sides put in similar performances against Chicago in their opening matches of the competition. However, with the 'home' advantage and in-form striker, we feel Sporting KC will be able to edge the Liga MX side to the top spot in the group. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 66.53%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 16.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.79%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Toluca in this match.

Result
TolucaDrawSporting Kansas City
66.53% (-0.85299999999999 -0.85) 17.41% (0.249 0.25) 16.06% (0.61 0.61)
Both teams to score 64.06% (0.551 0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.87% (0.048999999999992 0.05)28.13% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.1% (0.059999999999995 0.06)48.9% (-0.055 -0.05)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.07% (-0.16 -0.16)7.93% (0.165 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.97% (-0.411 -0.41)28.03% (0.416 0.42)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.58% (0.72200000000001 0.72)30.42% (-0.716 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.38% (0.851 0.85)66.62% (-0.84599999999999 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 66.53%
    Sporting Kansas City 16.06%
    Draw 17.41%
TolucaDrawSporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.79% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.75% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-0 @ 6.55% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-0 @ 6.11% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 4.94% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-2 @ 4.64% (0.058 0.06)
4-0 @ 4.15% (-0.148 -0.15)
4-2 @ 2.94% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.5% (-0.06 -0.06)
5-0 @ 2.1% (-0.093 -0.09)
5-2 @ 1.49% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.17% (0.028 0.03)
6-1 @ 1.06% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 66.53%
1-1 @ 7.28% (0.065 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.113 0.11)
0-0 @ 2.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.84% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 17.41%
1-2 @ 4.33% (0.123 0.12)
0-1 @ 2.87% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.087 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.72% (0.082 0.08)
0-2 @ 1.71% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 16.06%

How you voted: Toluca vs Kansas

Toluca
41.9%
Draw
12.9%
Sporting Kansas City
45.2%
31
rhs 2.0
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