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Liga MX | Gameweek 1
Jul 7, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio AKRON

Guadalajara
0 - 0
Toluca


Beltran (45')
FT

Baeza (64'), Pereira (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Toluca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

CD Guadalajara

All competitions
Last Game: America 1-0 Guadalajara
Sunday, May 19 at 3am in Liga MX

Toluca

All competitions
Last Game: Toluca 0-0 Guadalajara
Sunday, May 12 at 3.10am in Liga MX

We said: CD Guadalajara 2-1 Toluca

 Guadalajara have enjoyed the better of this fixture of late and will have the psychological edge heading into Sunday's game. Nonetheless, we expect a close contest with the hosts just about coming out on top in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawToluca
43.09% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05) 25.77% (0.097999999999999 0.1) 31.14% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 53.71% (-0.338 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.73% (-0.428 -0.43)50.27% (0.43 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.78% (-0.381 -0.38)72.22% (0.384 0.38)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.79% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)23.21% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.89% (-0.309 -0.31)57.1% (0.311 0.31)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.95% (-0.245 -0.25)30.05% (0.247 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.82% (-0.299 -0.3)66.18% (0.301 0.3)
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 43.08%
    Toluca 31.14%
    Draw 25.76%
CD GuadalajaraDrawToluca
1-0 @ 10.18% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.44% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 43.08%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.97% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 8.38% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.04% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 31.14%

How you voted: Guadalajara vs Toluca

CD Guadalajara
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Toluca
14.3%
7
Head to Head
May 12, 2024 3.10am
Toluca
0-0
Guadalajara
Ruiz (45'), Meneses (82'), Vega (83')
Garcia (59')
Rangel (36'), Mozo (45'), Castillo (90+5')
May 9, 2024 2.05am
Guadalajara
1-0
Toluca
Alfonso Guzman Guzman (87')
Gutierrez (90+6')

Garcia (83')
Jan 31, 2024 3.05am
Gameweek 4
Guadalajara
3-2
Toluca
Beltran (1'), Perez (43'), Marin (81')
Orozco (14'), Perez (45+5'), Gutierrez (62'), Castillo (65')
Ruiz (7'), Garcia (45+3')
Belmonte (45+4'), Pereira (45+9'), Angulo (71'), Ruiz (83')
Oct 2, 2023 12.20am
Gameweek 10
Toluca
1-1
Guadalajara
Lopez (62')
Raul (42'), Mosquera (80'), Navarro (90+5')
Marin (69')
Sepulveda (14'), Paunovic (15'), Mozo (54'), Raul Rangel Aguilar (74')
Jan 22, 2023 3.10am
Gameweek 3
Guadalajara
1-2
Toluca
Huerta (31' og.)
Gonzalez (60'), Ruiz (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul76101731419
2TolucaToluca75201551017
3Tigres7520113817
4MonterreyMonterrey85121110116
5Atlas7421117414
6Club TijuanaTijuana84221415-114
7CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara7322126611
8Atletico San Luis83231210211
9PueblaPuebla83231012-211
10NecaxaNecaxa7313127510
11PumasPumas73131110110
12Club AmericaAmerica7304810-29
13MazatlanMazatlan7124610-45
14PachucaPachuca712439-65
15Santos LagunaSantos Laguna8125614-85
16Club Leon7043712-54
17Juarez7115717-104
18QueretaroQueretaro8017518-131
> Liga MX Full Table


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