Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 50.18%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lyon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lyon.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Nantes |
50.18% ( 0.48) | 23.45% ( 0.03) | 26.37% ( -0.51) |
Both teams to score 58.21% ( -0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.1% ( -0.57) | 42.9% ( 0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.7% ( -0.56) | 65.3% ( 0.57) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.79% ( -0.03) | 17.21% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.51% ( -0.06) | 47.49% ( 0.07) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.31% ( -0.68) | 29.69% ( 0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.26% ( -0.83) | 65.74% ( 0.84) |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Nantes |
2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.95% Total : 50.18% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.44% | 1-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.21% Total : 26.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 8 | 21 | 26 |
2 | Marseille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 20 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 18 |
5 | Nice | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 16 |
6 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Lyon | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
8 | Lens | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 14 |
9 | Reims | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 14 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
11 | Brest | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Toulouse | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
13 | Rennes | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 30 | -22 | 4 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |