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Angers
AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Nov 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Gerard Houllier
Saint-Etienne

Lyon
1 - 0
St Etienne

Lacazette (29')
Caleta-Car (40'), Fofana (86'), Perri (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Stassin (34'), Boakye (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Saint-Etienne, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-2 Lyon
Thursday, November 7 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: St Etienne 2-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, November 2 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lyon 2-0 Saint-Etienne

Lyon are unbeaten in five Ligue 1 games, and in their last 21 against newly-promoted sides, but they will be seeking three points here, as opposed to merely extending that run. Form may often go out the window on derby day, but this will be a difficult place for Saint-Etienne to turn their awful away record around at. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 65.58%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 16.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 3-1 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-2 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawSaint-Etienne
65.58% (-0.86799999999999 -0.87) 18.35% (0.314 0.31) 16.07% (0.557 0.56)
Both teams to score 60.22% (0.181 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.09% (-0.378 -0.38)32.91% (0.38399999999999 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.38% (-0.44 -0.44)54.62% (0.445 0.45)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.59% (-0.298 -0.3)9.41% (0.3031 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.34% (-0.718 -0.72)31.66% (0.723 0.72)
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.48% (0.419 0.42)33.52% (-0.413 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.84% (0.456 0.46)70.16% (-0.44999999999999 -0.45)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 65.58%
    Saint-Etienne 16.07%
    Draw 18.35%
LyonDrawSaint-Etienne
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.041 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.81% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 7.59% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-0 @ 7.46% (0.05 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.94% (-0.146 -0.15)
4-1 @ 4.48% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-2 @ 4.15% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.1% (-0.145 -0.15)
4-2 @ 2.45% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.12% (-0.08 -0.08)
5-0 @ 1.94% (-0.096 -0.1)
5-2 @ 1.16% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 4.77%
Total : 65.58%
1-1 @ 8.15% (0.146 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.081 0.08)
0-0 @ 3.16% (0.064 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 18.35%
1-2 @ 4.45% (0.129 0.13)
0-1 @ 3.45% (0.107 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.89% (0.08 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 16.07%

How you voted: Lyon vs St Etienne

Lyon
83.0%
Draw
11.3%
Saint-Etienne
5.7%
53
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 22
Lyon
1-0
St Etienne
Dembele (15' pen.)
Da Silva (59')

Gourna-Douath (19'), Camara (42'), Macon (50'), Thioub (90+1')
Oct 3, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
St Etienne
1-1
Lyon
Khazri (90+4' pen.)
Nordin (32'), Camara (45+3')
Aouar (42')
Dubois (45+3'), Toko Ekambi (90+1'), Denayer (90+3')
Lopes (74')
Jan 24, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 21
St Etienne
0-5
Lyon

Kolodziejczak (54'), Hamouma (74'), Bouanga (84')
Kadewere (16', 68'), Marcelo (36', 59'), Bouanga (82' og.)
Guimaraes (23')
Nov 8, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 10
Lyon
2-1
St Etienne
Kadewere (65', 74')
Caqueret (42'), Guimaraes (50'), Cornet (68'), Paqueta (83'), Mendes (90+6')
Lopes (40' og.)
Youssouf (52'), Gourna-Douath (64'), Moueffek (90+6')
Mar 1, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 27
Lyon
2-0
St Etienne
Dembele (27', 90' pen.)
Dubois (53'), Dembele (67'), Tousart (77'), Guimaraes (87')

Debuchy (26'), Trauco (39'), Abi (77'), Kolodziejczak (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Packers
@
Lions
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG13103037112633
2Marseille1382329171226
3MonacoMonaco1382322121026
4Lille136522113823
5Lyon136432317622
6Nice135532416820
7Lens135531512320
8Auxerre136162121019
9Reims135352018218
10Toulouse135351514118
11Brest135171923-416
12Rennes134271819-114
13StrasbourgStrasbourg133462227-513
14Angers133461421-713
15Saint-EtienneSt Etienne134181130-1913
16Le HavreLe Havre134091024-1412
17NantesNantes132561520-511
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier132291334-218


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