MX23RW : Wednesday, October 9 19:59:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Sep 14, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Nice

Marseille
2 - 0
Nice

Maupay (40'), Henrique (53')
Brassier (19'), Rongier (64'), Abdi (78')
Cornelius (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dante (13'), Haise (55'), Cornelius (63'), Rowe (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toulouse 1-3 Marseille
Saturday, August 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 1-4 Nice
Sunday, September 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 2-2 Nice

Whether the two-week hiatus has harmed Marseille and Nice's penchant for high-scoring affairs remains to be seen, but with the offensive talent on both sides' disposal, that should not be the case. A four-goal stalemate was the result when the two sides locked horns in this exact fixture last season, and an identical result here is not beyond the realm of possibility. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 48.64%. A win for Nice had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawNice
48.64% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14) 24.4% (0.062999999999999 0.06) 26.96% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Both teams to score 55.54% (-0.142 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.33% (-0.217 -0.22)46.67% (0.217 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.06% (-0.204 -0.2)68.94% (0.202 0.2)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.74% (-0.143 -0.14)19.25% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.02% (-0.236 -0.24)50.97% (0.234 0.23)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.78% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)31.22% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.44% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)67.56% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 48.64%
    Nice 26.96%
    Draw 24.39%
MarseilleDrawNice
1-0 @ 9.9% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.16% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.22% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.48% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 48.64%
1-1 @ 11.52% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.01% (0.055 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.39%
0-1 @ 7% (0.053 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.71% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.07% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 26.96%

How you voted: Marseille vs Nice

Marseille
82.5%
Draw
12.3%
Nice
5.3%
57
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 29
Marseille
2-2
Nice
Clauss (31'), Aubameyang (56' pen.)
Moumbagna (22')
Moumbagna (45+2')
Moffi (13'), Bard (72')
Moffi (11'), Cho (54'), Sanson (61')
Oct 21, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 9
Nice
1-0
Marseille
Guessand (79')
Dante (16'), Boga (24'), Boudaoui (56'), Moffi (79')

Balerdi (75'), Murillo (90+6')
Balerdi (78')
Feb 5, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Marseille
1-3
Nice
Diop (38'), Laborde (44'), Brahimi (85')
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 4
Nice
0-3
Marseille

Beka Beka (57')
Sanchez (10', 42'), Tavares (37')
Tavares (71')
Mar 20, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Marseille
2-1
Nice
Milik (45+3' pen.), Bakambu (89')
Caleta-Car (60'), Saliba (90+1')
Lemina (90+1')
Bard (45'), Lemina (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MonacoMonaco76101441019
2Paris Saint-GermainPSG75202161517
3Marseille7421168814
4Reims74211410414
5Lille7412138513
6Lens725074311
7StrasbourgStrasbourg72411412210
8Lyon73131012-210
9Nice723215789
10NantesNantes72329819
11Brest73041013-39
12Rennes7214111107
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne7214618-127
14Auxerre7205915-66
15Le HavreLe Havre7205715-86
16Toulouse7124610-45
17Montpellier HSCMontpellier7115821-134
18Angers7034513-83


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