Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 46.55%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Toulouse |
46.55% ( 0.01) | 25.13% ( -0.02) | 28.32% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 54.17% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.06% ( 0.06) | 48.94% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.97% ( 0.05) | 71.03% ( -0.06) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.95% ( 0.03) | 21.05% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.15% ( 0.05) | 53.85% ( -0.05) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.62% ( 0.03) | 31.38% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.25% ( 0.04) | 67.75% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Toulouse |
1-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.02% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 46.55% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.12% | 0-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 28.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 33 |
2 | Marseille | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 26 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Lille | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Lyon | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 22 |
6 | Nice | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 20 |
7 | Lens | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
8 | Auxerre | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 19 |
9 | Reims | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
10 | Toulouse | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 |
11 | Brest | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 14 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 13 |
14 | Angers | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 13 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 30 | -19 | 13 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 12 |
17 | NantesNantes | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 11 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 8 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |