Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Sep 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
St Etienne1 - 0Lille
We said: Saint-Etienne 0-2 Lille
Despite losing their previous encounter, there are a lot of encouraging things we have seen from Lille this season, whereas Saint-Etienne look unnerved at the back and without much creativity going forward. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Lille |
35.75% ( -0.14) | 25.99% ( -0.03) | 38.25% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 54.22% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
