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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Jul 16, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Orlando City

Atlanta
1 - 2
Orlando City

Wiley (22')
Alonso (59'), Giakoumakis (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Carlos (25'), McGuire (60')
Cartagena (45+2'), Jansson (45+3'), McGuire (65'), Angulo (86'), Carlos (90+6'), Gallese (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New England 2-1 Atlanta
Thursday, July 13 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 4-0 Orlando City
Sunday, July 9 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 2-1 Orlando City

While there is little to choose between these sides based on their league position this season, Atlanta's home form of late cannot be overlooked. They are unbeaten in their last five, while Orlando have failed to win any of their last three matches on the road and have failed to score in their last two. We do not expect a clean sheet from the hosts, but we do fancy that they will get the win.

How to watch

You can watch Atlanta United vs. Orlando City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 60.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 18.22%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawOrlando City
60.46% (1.599 1.6) 21.32% (-0.714 -0.71) 18.22% (-0.885 -0.89)
Both teams to score 54.06% (0.745 0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.93% (1.786 1.79)43.07% (-1.784 -1.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.53% (1.742 1.74)65.47% (-1.742 -1.74)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.19% (1.09 1.09)13.81% (-1.089 -1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.85% (2.115 2.12)41.15% (-2.113 -2.11)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.72% (0.073 0.07)37.28% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.93% (0.071000000000002 0.07)74.07% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 60.46%
    Orlando City 18.22%
    Draw 21.32%
Atlanta UnitedDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 10.19% (-0.4 -0.4)
2-0 @ 10.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.96% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.66% (0.257 0.26)
3-1 @ 6.57% (0.266 0.27)
4-0 @ 3.3% (0.249 0.25)
4-1 @ 3.25% (0.252 0.25)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.137 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.127 0.13)
5-0 @ 1.31% (0.145 0.15)
5-1 @ 1.29% (0.146 0.15)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 60.46%
1-1 @ 10.05% (-0.38 -0.38)
0-0 @ 5.15% (-0.417 -0.42)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.32%
0-1 @ 5.08% (-0.4 -0.4)
1-2 @ 4.96% (-0.176 -0.18)
0-2 @ 2.51% (-0.192 -0.19)
1-3 @ 1.63% (-0.055 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 18.22%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Orlando City

Atlanta United
81.3%
Draw
6.3%
Orlando City
12.5%
16
Head to Head
May 28, 2023 12.30am
Sep 14, 2022 11.55pm
Jul 17, 2022 8pm
Atlanta
1-1
Orlando City
Sanchez (71')
Sejdic (45+1'), McFadden (59'), Araujo (90')
Pereyra (10')
Urso (36'), Pereyra (69'), Michel (73'), Ruan (90+1')
Sep 11, 2021 12am
Jul 31, 2021 1am
Gameweek 20
Orlando City
3-2
Atlanta
Smith (43'), Van der Water (79'), Nani (87')
Perea (64')
Martinez (1'), Moreno (66')
Franco (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami27185462402259
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati27163848361251
3Columbus Crew26147552282449
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls28101354435943
5New York City FCNY City27116104036439
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC2710893129238
7Orlando City27107104241137
8Toronto28103153650-1433
9DC United2888124356-1332
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta2787123638-231
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia2779114743430
12New England RevolutionNew England2683153051-2127
13CF MontrealMontreal2769123558-2327
14Chicago Fire2868143450-1626
15Nashville SCNashville2768132644-1826

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy28157653381552
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles26146648321648
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake27138653361747
4Colorado RapidsColorado2713595345844
5Seattle SoundersSeattle2812794132943
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2612684435942
7Houston DynamoHouston2711883731641
8Portland TimbersPortland2711795546940
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd27106114445-136
10Dallas2897124445-134
11Austin FCAustin2797113038-834
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas2877144553-828
13St Louis City28513104053-1328
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes2752203463-2917


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