Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 60.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 18.22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atlanta United | Draw | Orlando City |
60.46% ( 1.6) | 21.32% ( -0.71) | 18.22% ( -0.89) |
Both teams to score 54.06% ( 0.74) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.93% ( 1.79) | 43.07% ( -1.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.53% ( 1.74) | 65.47% ( -1.74) |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.19% ( 1.09) | 13.81% ( -1.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.85% ( 2.12) | 41.15% ( -2.11) |
Orlando City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.72% ( 0.07) | 37.28% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.93% ( 0.07) | 74.07% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Atlanta United | Draw | Orlando City |
1-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.4) 2-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.27) 4-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.25) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.13) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.15) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.15) Other @ 3.01% Total : 60.46% | 1-1 @ 10.05% ( -0.38) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.32% | 0-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.4) 1-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 18.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 62 | 40 | 22 | 59 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 51 |
3 | Columbus Crew | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 49 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 28 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 43 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 39 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 38 |
7 | Orlando City | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 37 |
8 | Toronto | 28 | 10 | 3 | 15 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 33 |
9 | DC United | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 32 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 31 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 30 |
12 | New England RevolutionNew England | 26 | 8 | 3 | 15 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 27 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 27 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 50 | -16 | 26 |
15 | Nashville SCNashville | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 26 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 48 | 32 | 16 | 48 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 53 | 36 | 17 | 47 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 45 | 8 | 44 |
5 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 43 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 42 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 41 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 55 | 46 | 9 | 40 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 36 |
10 | Dallas | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 34 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 34 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 28 |
13 | St Louis City | 28 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 28 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 34 | 63 | -29 | 17 |