Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 62.41%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 17.55%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 1-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atlanta United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atlanta United.
Result | ||
Atlanta United | Draw | Toronto |
62.41% ( 0) | 20.04% | 17.55% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 57.21% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.71% ( -0.01) | 38.28% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.43% ( -0.01) | 60.56% ( 0.01) |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.24% ( -0) | 11.75% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.07% ( -0.01) | 36.92% ( 0) |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.83% ( -0.01) | 35.17% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.08% ( -0.01) | 71.92% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Atlanta United | Draw | Toronto |
2-1 @ 9.9% 2-0 @ 9.47% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.85% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.07% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.76% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.78% 3-2 @ 3.69% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.62% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.62% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.55% Other @ 4.12% Total : 62.41% | 1-1 @ 9.25% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.13% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.04% | 1-2 @ 4.83% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.32% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.65% Total : 17.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 73 | 47 | 26 | 71 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 65 | 38 | 27 | 60 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 33 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 56 |
4 | Orlando City | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 52 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 54 | 47 | 7 | 50 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 48 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 47 |
8 | DC United | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 40 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 64 | -18 | 40 |
10 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 61 | 53 | 8 | 37 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 33 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 35 | 64 | -29 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 48 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 33 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 63 | 47 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 56 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 51 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 50 |
7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 54 | 48 | 6 | 49 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 47 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 64 | 55 | 9 | 46 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 39 |
11 | Dallas | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 38 |
12 | St Louis City | 33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 49 | 59 | -10 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 33 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 40 | 75 | -35 | 21 |