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Austin FC
Major League Soccer
May 16, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Bold Stadium
Houston Dynamo

Austin
1 - 0
Houston

Driussi (87')
Cascante (31'), Gallagher (90'), Fodrey (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dorsey (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dallas 2-1 Austin
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 1-2 Houston
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 2-1 Houston Dynamo

Austin knows they have to quickly bounce back from defeat in their last match and they will feel this is a perfect opportunity for that against a side they have beaten in all the four times they have hosted this fixture. We expect a home win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Austin FC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Austin FC.

Result
Austin FCDrawHouston Dynamo
43.98% (-0.638 -0.64) 24.83% (-0.446 -0.45) 31.19% (1.083 1.08)
Both teams to score 56.85% (2.041 2.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.8% (2.42 2.42)46.2% (-2.419 -2.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.51% (2.243 2.24)68.49% (-2.243 -2.24)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.94% (0.724 0.72)21.06% (-0.723 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.13% (1.118 1.12)53.87% (-1.117 -1.12)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.02% (1.944 1.94)27.98% (-1.944 -1.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.38% (2.411 2.41)63.62% (-2.411 -2.41)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 43.98%
    Houston Dynamo 31.19%
    Draw 24.83%
Austin FCDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 9.18% (-0.755 -0.76)
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.15% (-0.42 -0.42)
3-1 @ 4.73% (0.089 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.71% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-2 @ 3.01% (0.212 0.21)
4-1 @ 1.84% (0.074 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 43.98%
1-1 @ 11.69% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-0 @ 5.89% (-0.626 -0.63)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.289 0.29)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.152 0.15)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.83%
0-1 @ 7.51% (-0.359 -0.36)
1-2 @ 7.45% (0.215 0.22)
0-2 @ 4.78% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.16% (0.253 0.25)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.246 0.25)
0-3 @ 2.03% (0.121 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.129 0.13)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 31.19%

How you voted: Austin vs Houston

Austin FC
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Houston Dynamo
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 1.30am
Houston
0-1
Austin

Kowalczyk (28'), Carrasquilla (37'), Artur (45+3'), Ferreira (77')
Rigoni (86')
Driussi (87'), Zardes (90+3')
Jun 25, 2023 2.30am
Austin
3-0
Houston
Finlay (22'), Zardes (32'), Cascante (50')
Gallagher (39'), Wolff (45'), Pereira (68'), Lima (75'), Cascante (77')

Sviatchenko (31'), Artur (45+5'), Herrera (77')
May 28, 2023 1.30am
Houston
2-1
Austin
Herrera (37'), Franco (87')
Quinones (67'), Micael (90+3')
Zardes (22')
Cascante (30')
Mar 19, 2023 12.30am
Jul 13, 2022 2am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami24155454381650
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati24153643301348
3Columbus Crew22127346202643
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls2491143930938
5New York City FCNY City2411493529637
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC2410682825336
7Orlando City249693837133
8CF MontrealMontreal246993448-1427
9Toronto2583143347-1427
10Nashville SCNashville2468102636-1026
11DC United2568113550-1526
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta2467113335-225
13Chicago Fire2467112940-1125
14Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia2459104242024
15New England RevolutionNew England2271142246-2422

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy25137547341346
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake24128449311844
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles23135545301544
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2311574031938
5Colorado RapidsColorado2511594741638
6Seattle SoundersSeattle2410773426837
7Portland TimbersPortland2410684839936
8Houston DynamoHouston239773127434
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd2486103841-330
10Austin FCAustin2486102635-930
11Dallas2485113738-129
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas2565144051-1123
13St Louis City24410103145-1422
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes2442183159-2814


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