Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chicago Fire | Draw | Orlando City |
46.04% ( 0.06) | 25.65% ( 0.02) | 28.31% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 52.54% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.92% ( -0.11) | 51.08% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.07% ( -0.09) | 72.93% ( 0.09) |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.83% ( -0.02) | 22.17% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.44% ( -0.03) | 55.56% ( 0.03) |
Orlando City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.5% ( -0.11) | 32.5% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.98% ( -0.12) | 69.02% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Chicago Fire | Draw | Orlando City |
1-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 46.04% | 1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 28.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 28 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 65 | 41 | 24 | 62 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 52 |
3 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 50 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 43 |
5 | Orlando City | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 40 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 40 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 38 |
8 | Toronto | 29 | 11 | 3 | 15 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 36 |
9 | DC United | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 44 | 57 | -13 | 33 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 31 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 46 | 2 | 30 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 37 | 59 | -22 | 30 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 29 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 29 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 27 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 55 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 36 | 14 | 48 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 54 | 40 | 14 | 47 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 55 | 46 | 9 | 47 |
5 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 46 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 45 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 40 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 39 |
10 | Dallas | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 34 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 34 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 28 |
13 | St Louis City | 29 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 28 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 28 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 34 | 65 | -31 | 17 |