Major League Soccer
Sep 24, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Audi Field
We said: DC United 1-1 New York Red Bulls
Having dropped important points in their quest for a playoff spot in recent weeks, Sunday's game offers DC United and New York Red Bulls an opportunity to find their feet. The Red Bulls have struggled to grind out results on the road and we predict that Rooney's side will hold out for another share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 46.93% . A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 26% .
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.63%) . The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (8.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%) . The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood .
Result DC United Draw New York Red Bulls 46.93% ( -1.22) 25.98% ( 0.3) 27.09% ( 0.92)
Both teams to score 50.65% ( -0.18)
46.88% ( -0.59) 53.12% ( 0.59)
25.3% ( -0.51) 74.69% ( 0.51)
77.37% ( -0.8) 22.62% ( 0.8)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 43.75% ( -1.2) 56.24% ( 1.2)
65.46% ( 0.44) 34.53% ( -0.43)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 28.75% ( 0.46) 71.25% ( -0.46)
DC United 46.93%
New York Red Bulls 27.09%
Draw 25.98%
DC United Draw New York Red Bulls 1-0 @ 11.61% 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.12) Other @ 3% Total : 46.93% 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.98% 0-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.19% Total : 27.09%
rhs 2.0
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