Major League Soccer
May 14, 2023 at 1.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
We said: Houston Dynamo 1-0 Seattle Sounders
Despite Seattle's position in the table, they have hit a rough patch in terms of form, so we think Houston will manage to preserve their unbeaten home record for another week.
Goals seem to have dried up for both sides, so we are expecting a low-scoring affair and one goal may be enough to edge it.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 44.07% . A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.7% .
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.66%) . The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (8.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%) . The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood .
Result Houston Dynamo Draw Seattle Sounders 44.07% ( 0.18) 25.69% ( -0.04) 30.23% ( -0.14)
Both teams to score 53.53% ( 0.04)
49.69% ( 0.09) 50.31% ( -0.08)
27.74% ( 0.08) 72.26% ( -0.07)
77.25% ( 0.12) 22.75% ( -0.12)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 43.56% ( 0.18) 56.44% ( -0.18)
69.3% ( -0.06) 30.7% ( 0.06)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 33.05% ( -0.07) 66.96% ( 0.07)
Houston Dynamo 44.07%
Seattle Sounders 30.23%
Draw 25.69%
Houston Dynamo Draw Seattle Sounders 1-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 44.07% 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.69% 0-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.05% Total : 30.23%
rhs 2.0
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