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Major League Soccer
Oct 6, 2024 at 9.25pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Nashville

NY City
3 - 1
Nashville

Rodriguez (1', 19'), Martinez (21')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Williams (58')
Zimmerman (45+2'), Yazbek (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 3-2 Cincinnati
Thursday, October 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 3-4 DC United
Thursday, October 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-1 Nashville SC

The Pigeons should be brimming with confidence after finally beating an elite MLS team this week in Cincinnati, and we expect them to continue that momentum into this encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 61.71%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 18.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 1-0 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 1-2 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawNashville SC
61.71% (0.010000000000005 0.01) 19.95% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 18.33% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 59.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.51% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)36.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.36% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)58.63% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.59%11.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.83% (0.0049999999999955 0)36.16% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.77% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)33.22% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)69.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 61.71%
    Nashville SC 18.33%
    Draw 19.95%
New York City FCDrawNashville SC
2-1 @ 9.84%
2-0 @ 8.93% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 8.23%
3-1 @ 7.12% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.92%
4-1 @ 3.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 3.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.13%
5-1 @ 1.68% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.52%
5-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 61.71%
1-1 @ 9.07% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 19.95%
1-2 @ 4.99% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 4.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.83% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 18.33%

How you voted: NY City vs Nashville

New York City FC
80.0%
Draw
10.0%
Nashville SC
10.0%
20
Head to Head
Jun 23, 2024 1.30am
Apr 16, 2023 12.30am
Feb 25, 2023 9.30pm
Oct 3, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 37
NY City
0-0
Nashville
Moralez (70'), Gray (88')
Sep 4, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 29
Nashville
3-1
NY City
Williams (30', 68'), Latinovich (32' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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