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New York City
Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Citi Field
New York Red Bulls

NY City
2 - 1
NY Red Bulls

Wolf (3'), Bakrar (64')
Sands (32')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Harper (45+1')
Harper (25'), Amaya (66'), Nealis (67'), Tolkin (90'), Schwarz (90+2')
Nealis (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 1-2 NY City
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 1-4 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 1-0 New York Red Bulls

The Red Bulls have shown themselves to be a quality attacking side, but we believe it will be much harder to penetrate the Pigeons' backline, which have conceded a goal or fewer in four of their last five home fixtures. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 57.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 20.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawNew York Red Bulls
57.79% (-2.03 -2.03) 22.19% (0.285 0.29) 20.02% (1.745 1.75)
Both teams to score 54.37% (2.134 2.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.79% (1.33 1.33)44.21% (-1.332 -1.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.41% (1.282 1.28)66.58% (-1.282 -1.28)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.97% (-0.209 -0.21)15.02% (0.208 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.5% (-0.395 -0.4)43.5% (0.394 0.39)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.99% (2.659 2.66)36.01% (-2.662 -2.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.21% (2.621 2.62)72.79% (-2.622 -2.62)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 57.79%
    New York Red Bulls 20.02%
    Draw 22.18%
New York City FCDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 10.25% (-0.69 -0.69)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 9.72% (-0.721 -0.72)
3-1 @ 6.27% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.14% (-0.507 -0.51)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.202 0.2)
4-1 @ 2.97% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.91% (-0.264 -0.26)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.086 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.025 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.1% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 57.79%
1-1 @ 10.47% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.41% (-0.319 -0.32)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.356 0.36)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.141 0.14)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.18%
0-1 @ 5.53% (0.083 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.35% (0.411 0.41)
0-2 @ 2.82% (0.236 0.24)
1-3 @ 1.82% (0.257 0.26)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.233 0.23)
0-3 @ 0.96% (0.142 0.14)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 20.02%

How you voted: NY City vs NY Red Bulls

New York City FC
81.8%
Draw
9.1%
New York Red Bulls
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 8.30pm
NY City
0-0
NY Red Bulls
Pellegrini (42'), Morales (63'), Sands (90+3')
Barlow (48'), Ndam (69'), Harper (90+7'), Tolkin (90+7')
May 14, 2023 12.30am
Jul 17, 2022 10pm
Oct 17, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 40
NY Red Bulls
1-0
NY City
Casseres Jr (3')
Nealis (16'), Davis (21')

Chanot (34'), Amundsen (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami25165456391753
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati25153744331148
3Columbus Crew23127447222543
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls251011442311141
5New York City FCNY City2511593630638
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC2510783027337
7Orlando City259793938134
8Toronto2693143447-1330
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta2577113536-128
10Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia2569104542327
11CF MontrealMontreal2569103449-1527
12Nashville SCNashville2568112639-1326
13DC United2568113550-1526
14Chicago Fire2567123042-1225
15New England RevolutionNew England2372142347-2423

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy26147548341449
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles24145547301747
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake25128550331744
4Colorado RapidsColorado2612594942741
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2411584133838
6Seattle SoundersSeattle2510783428637
7Houston DynamoHouston2410773328537
8Portland TimbersPortland2510694840836
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd2596104041-133
10Austin FCAustin2587102837-931
11Dallas2586113839-130
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas2666144152-1124
13St Louis City25411103246-1423
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes2542193161-3014


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