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Major League Soccer
Jun 1, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Yankee Stadium
San Jose Earthquakes

NY City
5 - 1
Earthquakes

Wolf (50'), Rodriguez (80'), Martinez (85', 90+2', 90+5')
Fernandez (15'), Tanasijevic (17'), Sands (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pellegrino (53')
Yueill (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New England 0-1 NY City
Sunday, May 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-1 Austin
Sunday, May 26 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes

New York City have been in excellent form recently and head into this match having lost just one of their last six league games and riding a four-match winning streak. On the flip side, San Jose are winless in their last three and have been shipping goals in bulk on the road this season. Based on the current form of both these sides, we feel the hosts will secure all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 54.69%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 22.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
54.69% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02) 22.85% (0.101 0.1) 22.46% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Both teams to score 55.79% (-0.445 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.93% (-0.541 -0.54)44.07% (0.54199999999999 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.55% (-0.53 -0.53)66.45% (0.53 0.53)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.98% (-0.2 -0.2)16.02% (0.201 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.65% (-0.367 -0.37)45.35% (0.367 0.37)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.43% (-0.369 -0.37)33.57% (0.37 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.78% (-0.406 -0.41)70.22% (0.40899999999999 0.41)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 54.69%
    San Jose Earthquakes 22.46%
    Draw 22.84%
New York City FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
1-0 @ 9.85% (0.164 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.02% (0.09 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.01% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.51% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.75% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.52% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 54.69%
1-1 @ 10.74% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.38% (0.126 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.84%
0-1 @ 5.87% (0.079 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.87% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.2% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 22.46%

How you voted: NY City vs Earthquakes

New York City FC
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
San Jose Earthquakes
0.0%
24
Head to Head
May 1, 2022 6pm
Jul 12, 2020 3am
Sep 14, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 36
NY City
2-1
Earthquakes
Parks (40'), Mitrita (43')
Callens (55'), Johnson (94')
Wondolowski (20')
Salinas (47'), Eriksson (76')
Apr 1, 2018 1am
Gameweek 5
Earthquakes
1-2
NY City
Quintana (3')
Godoy (29')
Tinnerholm (49'), Moralez (60')
Ofori (41'), Callens (67'), Herrera (74'), Tinnerholm (89'), Moralez (93')
Apr 1, 2017 7pm
NY City
2-1
Earthquakes
Harrison (11'), McNamara (67')
Ring (54'), Wallace (59'), Harrison (87')
Urena (7')
Bernardez (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami24155454381650
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati24153643301348
3Columbus Crew22127346202643
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls2491143930938
5New York City FCNY City2411493529637
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC2410682825336
7Orlando City249693837133
8CF MontrealMontreal246993448-1427
9Toronto2583143347-1427
10Nashville SCNashville2468102636-1026
11DC United2568113550-1526
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta2467113335-225
13Chicago Fire2467112940-1125
14Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia2459104242024
15New England RevolutionNew England2271142246-2422

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy25137547341346
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake24128449311844
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles23135545301544
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2311574031938
5Colorado RapidsColorado2511594741638
6Seattle SoundersSeattle2410773426837
7Portland TimbersPortland2410684839936
8Houston DynamoHouston239773127434
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd2486103841-330
10Austin FCAustin2486102635-930
11Dallas2485113738-129
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas2565144051-1123
13St Louis City24410103145-1422
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes2442183159-2814


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