Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 54.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.