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Real Salt Lake
Major League Soccer
May 16, 2024 at 2.30am UK
Rio Tinto Stadium
Seattle Sounders

Salt Lake
2 - 0
Seattle

Gomez (27'), Luna (58')
Barajas (86'), Barajas (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Baker (55'), Gomez (85'), Roldan (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Real Salt Lake and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-2 Salt Lake
Sunday, May 12 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 1-2 Seattle
Sunday, May 12 at 9.45pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Real Salt Lake 2-2 Seattle Sounders

While Salt Lake's form has seen a slight dip in recent outings Seattle's has massively improved ahead of this one, leading us to believe that the visitors will manage to snatch a point from their trip to face the league leaders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 49.18%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.

Result
Real Salt LakeDrawSeattle Sounders
49.18% (0.031999999999996 0.03) 24.45% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 26.37% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.86% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.67% (0.039999999999999 0.04)47.33% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.45% (0.038 0.04)69.55% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.71% (0.028999999999996 0.03)19.29% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.96% (0.049000000000007 0.05)51.04% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)32.03% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.51% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)68.49% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Real Salt Lake 49.17%
    Seattle Sounders 26.37%
    Draw 24.44%
Real Salt LakeDrawSeattle Sounders
1-0 @ 10.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.0029999999999983 0)
2-0 @ 8.37% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 49.17%
1-1 @ 11.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.44%
0-1 @ 7.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 26.37%

How you voted: Salt Lake vs Seattle

Real Salt Lake
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Seattle Sounders
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 2.30am
Mar 5, 2023 3.30am
Aug 15, 2022 3am
Seattle
1-2
Salt Lake
Rusnak (62')
Gomez Andrade (59'), Roldan (70')
Cordova (32'), Brody (64')
Chang (66'), Ruiz (90')
Mar 5, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 3
Salt Lake
1-0
Seattle
Wood (46')
Caldwell (70'), Loffelsend (90+1')

Rusnak (48'), Rowe (73')
Nov 24, 2021 3.30am
Seattle
0-0
Salt Lake
(Aggregate 0-0 | Salt Lake win 6-5 on penalties)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami25165456391753
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati25153744331148
3Columbus Crew23127447222543
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls251011442311141
5New York City FCNY City2511593630638
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC2510783027337
7Orlando City259793938134
8Toronto2693143447-1330
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta2577113536-128
10Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia2569104542327
11CF MontrealMontreal2569103449-1527
12Nashville SCNashville2568112639-1326
13DC United2568113550-1526
14Chicago Fire2567123042-1225
15New England RevolutionNew England2372142347-2423

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy26147550351549
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles24145548301847
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake25128550331744
4Colorado RapidsColorado2612594942741
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2411674334939
6Seattle SoundersSeattle2510783429537
7Portland TimbersPortland2510694942736
8Houston DynamoHouston249873430435
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd2596104041-133
10Austin FCAustin2587102837-931
11Dallas2586113839-130
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas2666144152-1124
13St Louis City25411103246-1423
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes2542193161-3014


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