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New York Red Bulls
Major League Soccer
May 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Red Bull Arena, Harrison
Montreal Impact

NY Red Bulls
2 - 1
Montreal

Reyes (23'), Burke (38')
Casseres Jr (45')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Waterman (29')
Camacho (16'), Duke (32'), Herrera (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 0-0 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-0 Montreal
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York Red Bulls 2-0 CF Montreal

The Red Bulls appear to be back to their old selves defensively, and although they still have work to do in the attacking third, we expect them to get a big boost from the return of numerous players who were missing earlier this week. It has been a Jekyll and Hyde season for Le CFM, and they could find it difficult to penetrate a Red Bulls team who look reinvigorated defensively since changing coaches.

How to watch

You can watch New York Red Bulls vs. CF Montreal and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawCF Montreal
52.32% (0.0020000000000024 0) 25.88% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 21.8% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 45.85% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.19% (0.0019999999999953 0)56.81% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.26% (0.0019999999999989 0)77.74% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.21% (0.0010000000000048 0)21.79% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)54.99% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.62% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)41.38% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.11%77.89% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 52.31%
    CF Montreal 21.8%
    Draw 25.87%
New York Red BullsDrawCF Montreal
1-0 @ 13.73%
2-0 @ 10.46%
2-1 @ 9.24%
3-0 @ 5.32%
3-1 @ 4.69% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.07%
4-0 @ 2.03%
4-1 @ 1.79%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 52.31%
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 9.02% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.08%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 25.87%
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 5.35%
0-2 @ 3.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 1.57%
2-3 @ 1.2%
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 21.8%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 12.30am
Montreal
2-0
NY Red Bulls
Reyes (25' og.), Choiniere (90+2')
Corbo (27'), Iliadis (53'), Choiniere (59')
Iliadis (65')

Edelman (2'), Duncan (62'), Reyes (71')
Sep 1, 2022 12.30am
Apr 9, 2022 9pm
NY Red Bulls
1-2
Montreal
Fernandez (14')
Long (63'), Edwards (68'), Casseres Jr (87')
Camacho (71'), Quioto (81')
Wanyama (8'), Kone (45'), Waterman (62'), Mihailovic (83')
Oct 30, 2021 9pm
gameweek 43
NY Red Bulls
1-0
Montreal
Gomes (90+1')
Reyes (81')
Aug 15, 2021 1am
gameweek 25
Montreal
2-1
NY Red Bulls
Sunusi (71'), Wanyama (90+8' pen.)
Brault-Guillard (90+12')
Klimala (45+5' pen.)
Tarek (53'), Gomes (83'), Yearwood (89'), Duncan (90+5'), Miguel Coronel (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami32208472472568
2Columbus Crew31169662362657
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati321751055441156
4Orlando City32147115547849
5New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls32111475245747
6New York City FCNY City32138115146547
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC32129114137445
8CF MontrealMontreal321010124662-1640
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia32910135950937
10DC United32910135066-1637
11Toronto33114184060-2037
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta32810144247-534
13Nashville SCNashville3289153451-1733
14New England RevolutionNew England3194183462-2831
15Chicago Fire3379174059-1930

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy32187766471961
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles31167855411455
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake321411762471553
4Seattle SoundersSeattle32158949341553
5Houston DynamoHouston32149945351051
6Colorado RapidsColorado32155125956350
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver31138105044647
8Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd32137125348546
9Portland TimbersPortland32129116455945
10Austin FCAustin32109133544-939
11Dallas32107155255-337
12St Louis City32713124659-1334
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3287175061-1131
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3263234074-3421


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