Major League Soccer
Jul 4, 2024 at 1.30am UK
CityPark
St Louis City2 - 0Earthquakes
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vancouver 4-3 St Louis City
Sunday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
27
Last Game: Earthquakes 0-3 LA Galaxy
Sunday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
29
We said: St Louis City 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes
St Louis City will hope to feel more impact from a managerial change than their visitors did at the weekend, and we back them to end their rut on home turf against a San Jose Earthquakes side equally lacking any momentum in the MLS. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.35%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Louis City | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
46.66% ( -0.15) | 23.02% ( -0.02) | 30.31% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 62.8% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
